Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.977143 1.102659 1.239789 1.400993 1.585643 1.790931 2.036986
2024-12-22 0.775644 0.942484 1.140176 1.392812 1.708659 2.092533 2.597524
2024-12-29 0.673416 0.859136 1.091375 1.405294 1.821867 2.360300 3.116398
2025-01-05 0.588834 0.781018 1.031937 1.386882 1.881424 2.553961 3.551331
2025-01-12 0.527025 0.722651 0.987699 1.377666 1.944597 2.750824 4.005832
2025-01-19 0.461630 0.650973 0.915676 1.318411 1.925664 2.823276 4.280897
2025-01-26 0.430804 0.624142 0.902748 1.340696 2.025078 3.076028 4.855963
2025-02-02 0.405407 0.602154 0.893729 1.366188 2.129615 3.344829 5.486816
2025-02-09 0.379607 0.576772 0.876541 1.376015 2.208436 3.578483 6.085435
2025-02-16 0.356153 0.552662 0.858645 1.381961 2.279874 3.805200 6.697641
2025-02-23 0.339474 0.537632 0.853404 1.407387 2.385414 4.099423 7.466729
2025-03-02 0.312768 0.504059 0.815002 1.372614 2.381662 4.198669 7.880720
2025-03-09 0.299886 0.492777 0.813336 1.402502 2.498696 4.534138 8.806991
2025-03-16 0.279941 0.468005 0.786761 1.385631 2.528045 4.708903 9.436204
2025-03-23 0.266898 0.454001 0.777484 1.398895 2.614759 5.002428 10.351371
2025-03-30 0.250200 0.432241 0.752618 1.380493 2.637474 5.170078 11.016972
2025-04-06 0.236346 0.414527 0.733607 1.371332 2.677178 5.375950 11.795849
2025-04-13 0.216874 0.385195 0.691019 1.312376 2.609072 5.347016 12.027652
2025-04-20 0.209658 0.378044 0.689365 1.334549 2.712238 5.698007 13.213011
2025-04-27 0.203311 0.372044 0.689369 1.359911 2.824524 6.081651 14.537047
2025-05-04 0.195535 0.362742 0.682223 1.369688 2.903441 6.398172 15.739731
2025-05-11 0.187856 0.353095 0.673654 1.375605 2.974103 6.703231 16.960091
2025-05-18 0.182740 0.348145 0.674101 1.400902 3.091599 7.133999 18.590567